降水对新疆维吾尔自治区北天山长尾黄鼠动物鼠疫影响的研究

doi:10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2024.03.012

中国媒介生物学及控制杂志 ›› 2024, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 323-328.DOI: 10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2024.03.012

降水对新疆维吾尔自治区北天山长尾黄鼠动物鼠疫影响的研究

孙静¹, 魏文宇¹, 詹尚¹, 李芳¹, 赵国玉², 王启果², 雒涛², 吴海燕², 张渝疆³

1. 新疆医科大学公共卫生学院, 新疆乌鲁木齐 830054;
2. 新疆维吾尔自治区疾病预防控制中心消毒与感染控制中心/应急鼠防所, 新疆乌鲁木齐 830002;
3. 新疆病媒传染病重点实验室, 新疆乌鲁木齐 830002

收稿日期:2023-10-24 出版日期:2024-06-20 发布日期:2024-06-29
通讯作者: 张渝疆,E-mail:xjsyzhang@163.com;吴海燕,E-mail:1099072690@qq.com
作者简介:孙静,女,在读硕士,主要从事疾病预防与控制研究,E-mail：17852101905@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金（81960369）；国家重点研发计划（2016YFC1200101）

Effects of precipitation on epizootic plague among Spermophilus undulatus at the northern Tianshan Mountains of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China

SUN Jing¹, WEI Wen-yu¹, ZHAN Shang¹, LI Fang¹, ZHAO Guo-yu², WANG Qi-guo², LUO Tao², WU Hai-yan², ZHANG Yu-jiang³

1. School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830054, China;
2. Disinfection and Infection Control Center/Institute for Emergency Rodent Control, Xinjiang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830002, China;
3. Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Vector-borne Infectious Diseases, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830002, China

Received:2023-10-24 Online:2024-06-20 Published:2024-06-29
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81960369); National Key R&D Program of China (No. 2016YFC1200101)

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 目的探讨降水对新疆维吾尔自治区北天山长尾黄鼠鼠疫传播媒介及其动物鼠疫流行的影响。方法采用Spearman秩相关分析和广义可加模型（GAM）分析降水量对长尾黄鼠鼠疫传播媒介和动物鼠疫流行的影响,以及媒介与鼠疫流行的效应关系。结果当年和前1年年降水量、春末夏秋和秋末冬春降水量均与长尾黄鼠蚤指数和鼠疫血清阳性率呈负相关,其中前1年年降水量、前1年春末夏秋降水量与蚤指数相关关系均有统计学意义（均P<0.05）,当年年降水量、前1年年降水量、当年春末夏秋降水量、当年和前1年秋末冬春降水量与鼠疫F1抗体阳性率相关关系均有统计学意义（均P<0.05）。蚤指数、染蚤率与鼠疫血清阳性率呈正相关关系（r_s>0）；前1年春末夏秋降水量对蚤指数呈非线性关系,当年和前1年秋末冬春降水量均与鼠疫血清阳性率亦呈非线性关系,当年和前1年蚤指数均与鼠疫血清阳性率呈线性正相关。结论降水对长尾黄鼠蚤指数和动物鼠疫流行的影响是一个复杂的过程,表现为降水增多会抑制体蚤数量的增长,对鼠疫影响表现为先促进后抑制,并存在一定的滞后性。

关键词: 降水, 鼠疫, 蚤, 长尾黄鼠, 新疆

Abstract: Objective To investigate the effects of precipitation on the plague vectors and plague prevalence situation of Spermophilus undulatus at the northern Tianshan Mountains of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (Xinjiang).Methods The effects of precipitation on S. undulatus-associated plague vectors and plague prevalence, as well as the relationship between vectors and animal plague were analyzed through Spearman correlation analysis and generalized additive modeling.Results The current annual precipitation, the last spring-summer-autumn’ precipitation, and the last autumn-winter-spring’ precipitation were negatively correlated with the flea index and plague seroprevalence rate of S. undulatus. Among them, the correlations between the last annual precipitation and flea index, the last spring-summer-autumn’s precipitation and flea index were statistically significant (all P<0.05), and the correlations between the current and the last annual precipitation, the current spring-summer-autumn’, the current and the last autumn-winter-spring’ precipitation and the positive rate of F1 antibody to Yesinia pestis were all statistically significant (all P<0.05). The flea index and flea infestation rate were positively correlated with the plague seroprevalence rate (r_s>0). The last spring-summer-autumn’ precipitation had a nonlinear relationship with the flea index. Nonlinear relationships were also observed between the autumn-winter-spring’ precipitation of the same year and the last year and plague seroprevalence rate. The flea index of the same year and that of the last year were linearly positively correlated with the plague seroprevalence rate.Conclusions The effects of precipitation on the flea index and plague prevalence of S. undulatus are complex. Increased precipitation can inhibit the growth of body flea populations, first promoting and then inhibiting plague epizootics, at a certain lag.

Key words: Precipitation, Plague, Flea, Spermophilus undulatus, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region

中图分类号:

R183
R384.3

孙静, 魏文宇, 詹尚, 李芳, 赵国玉, 王启果, 雒涛, 吴海燕, 张渝疆. 降水对新疆维吾尔自治区北天山长尾黄鼠动物鼠疫影响的研究[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2024, 35(3): 323-328.

SUN Jing, WEI Wen-yu, ZHAN Shang, LI Fang, ZHAO Guo-yu, WANG Qi-guo, LUO Tao, WU Hai-yan, ZHANG Yu-jiang. Effects of precipitation on epizootic plague among Spermophilus undulatus at the northern Tianshan Mountains of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control, 2024, 35(3): 323-328.

参考文献

[1] Ari TB,Neerinckx S,Gage KL,et al. Plague and climate：Scales matter[J]. PLoS Pathog,2011,7（9）：e1002160. DOI：10.1371/journal.ppat.1002160.
[2] Li HR,Wang WY,Yang LS,et al. Coupling analysis of climate change with human plague prevalence[J]. Chin J Zoonoses,2005,21（10）：887-891.（in Chinese）李海蓉,王五一,杨林生,等. 气候变化与鼠疫流行的耦合分析[J]. 中国人兽共患病杂志,2005,21（10）：887-891.
[3] Cao HL,Zhang YJ. Analysis of epidemic situation of animal plague in mountainous plague natural foci in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2009[J]. Bull Dis Control Prev,2011,26（1）：1-6. DOI：10.13215/j.cnki.jbyfkztb.2011.01.033.（in Chinese）曹汉礼,张渝疆. 2000-2009年新疆山地鼠疫自然疫源地动物鼠疫疫情形势分析[J]. 疾病预防控制通报,2011,26（1）：1-6. DOI：10.13215/j.cnki.jbyfkztb.2011.01.033.
[4] Yang B,Cao HL,Luo T,et al. Analysis of the current situation of plague prevention and control in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region during the 12th Five-Year Plan period[J]. Bull Dis Control Prev,2016,31（3）：28-31. DOI：10.13215/j.cnki.jbyfkztb.1605010.（in Chinese）杨波,曹汉礼,雒涛,等. “十二五”新疆维吾尔自治区鼠疫防控现状分析[J]. 疾病预防控制通报,2016,31（3）：28-31. DOI：10.13215/j.cnki.jbyfkztb.1605010.
[5] Cui YJ,Schmid BV,Cao HL,et al. Evolutionary selection of biofilm-mediated extended phenotypes in Yersiniapestis in response to a fluctuating environment[J]. Nat Commun,2020,11（1）：281. DOI：10.1038/s41467-019-14099-w.
[6] Bossard RL. Mammal and flea relationships in the Great Basin Desert：From H. J. Egoscue’s collections[J]. J Parasitol,2006,92（2）：260-266. DOI：10.1645/GE-3545.1.
[7] Krasnov BR,Shenbrot GI,Khokhlova IS. Phylogenetic patterns in regional flea assemblages from 6 biogeographic realms：Strong links between flea and host phylogenetic turnovers and weak effects of phylogenetic originality on host specificity[J]. Parasitology,2023,150（5）：455-467. DOI：10.1017/S003118202300015X.
[8] Ezquiaga MC,Abba AM,Cassini GH,et al. Prevalence and intensity of fleas parasitizing an isolated population of screaming hairy armadillo in Buenos Aires province,Argentina：Host-related factors and temporal dynamics[J]. Parasitol Res,2017,116（11）：2895-2900. DOI：10.1007/s00436-017-5595-7.
[9] Zhang YJ,Dai X,Wang QG,et al. Transmission efficiency of the plague pathogen （Y. pestis） by the flea,Xenopsyllaskrjabini,to mice and great gerbils[J]. Parasit Vectors,2015,8：256. DOI：10.1186/s13071-015-0852-z.
[10] Friggens MM,Beier P. Anthropogenic disturbance and the risk of flea-borne disease transmission[J]. Oecologia,2010,164（3）：809-820. DOI：10.1007/s00442-010-1747-5.
[11] Stenseth NC,Samia NI,Viljugrein H,et al. Plague dynamics are driven by climate variation[J]. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA,2006,103（35）：13110-13115. DOI：10.1073/pnas.0602447103.
[12] Pham HV,Dang DT,Minh NNT,et al. Correlates of environmental factors and human plague：An ecological study in Vietnam[J]. Int J Epidemiol,2009,38（6）：1634-1641. DOI：10.1093/ije/dyp244.
[13] Ari TB,Gershunov A,Tristan R,et al. Interannual variability of human plague occurrence in the Western United States explained by tropical and North Pacific Ocean climate variability[J]. Am J Trop Med Hyg,2010,83（3）：624-632. DOI：10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0775.
[14] Parmenter RR,Yadav EP,Parmenter CA,et al. Incidence of plague associated with increased winter-spring precipitation in New Mexico[J]. Am J Trop Med Hyg,1999,61（5）：814-821. DOI：10.4269/ajtmh.1999.61.814.
[15] Linardi PM,Krasnov BR. Patterns of diversity and abundance of fleas and mites in the Neotropics：Host-related,parasite-related and environment-related factors[J]. Med Vet Entomol,2013,27（1）：49-58. DOI：10.1111/j.1365-2915.2012.01025.x.
[16] Gage KL. Factors affecting the spread and maintenance of plague[J]. Adv Exp Med Biol,2012,954：79-94. DOI：10.1007/978-1-4614-3561-7_11.

降水对新疆维吾尔自治区北天山长尾黄鼠动物鼠疫影响的研究

Effects of precipitation on epizootic plague among Spermophilus undulatus at the northern Tianshan Mountains of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	颜璐, 王昇, 高冬, 郑峰, 王娜娜, 杨春燕, 靳尚武. 内蒙古自治区鄂尔多斯市2014-2022年鼠疫监测结果分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2024, 35(3): 298-302.
[2]	魏文宇, 孙静, 李芳, 詹尚, 赵国玉, 雒涛, 吴海燕, 张渝疆. 新疆维吾尔自治区山地鼠疫疫源地鼠疫宿主体蚤群落结构与动物鼠疫流行强度相关性研究[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2024, 35(3): 343-348.
[3]	李江峰, 陈帅. 浙江省温州市2013－2022年鼠疫宿主动物及媒介蚤类监测分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2024, 35(2): 177-181.
[4]	李轲, 王振旭, 张璐, 伦辛畅, 尚猛, 许磊, 赵宁, 刘起勇. 内蒙古自治区锡林郭勒盟2012－2021年气象因素和鼠体蚤指数对长爪沙鼠种群密度的影响[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2024, 35(2): 212-217.
[5]	张喆, 李建云, 刘芳, 刘洋, 张娇. 内蒙古自治区1950－2021年人间鼠疫流行病学特征分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2024, 35(1): 69-73.
[6]	黄星魁, 赵俊, 潘欢弘, 夏光辉, 张天琛. “3S”技术在鼠疫防控中的应用研究进展[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(6): 824-827.
[7]	刘福生, 薛培苗, 黄喜平, 王宝忠, 郑梅. 内蒙古乌海市2013－2022年鼠疫监测结果分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(5): 633-636.
[8]	王玲, 何亚明, 季恒青, 李志峰, 赵婷, 黄为, 肖汉森. 三峡库区重庆段2019－2021年小型兽类及体表媒介蚤监测结果分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(5): 642-647.
[9]	王金锁, 赵延梅, 魏有文, 周奎章, 李积德, 马英. 青海省海东市小型兽类体表寄生蚤种及其鉴定研究[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(5): 664-670.
[10]	刘明明, 刘丹丹, 芦星, 王水怡, 刘雨桐, 姜冰冰, 朱慧茹, 杜少磊, 巴音查汗, 张伟. 基于MaxEnt模型的新疆地区钝缘蜱适生区分布研究[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(5): 671-678.
[11]	韩冰, 刘慧杰, 张大禹, 冯一兰, 李建云, 张忠兵. 内蒙古自治区2018－2022年长爪沙鼠鼠疫疫源地动物间鼠疫流行病学调查[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(5): 697-702.
[12]	冯一兰, 李建云, 张大禹, 于欣欣. 鄂尔多斯鼠疫疫源地2014－2022年鼠体蚤空间分布分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(5): 703-707.
[13]	唐莉娟, 刘丹, 马博, 卜三平, 宋瑞霞, 王远志. 新疆边境地区寄生蜱携带梨形虫情况调查[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(4): 564-568.
[14]	李胜, 靳娟, 何建, 张琪, 杨晓艳, 辛有全, 赵海红, 张晓璐, 柏吉祥, 代瑞霞. 应用TaqMan-MGB探针RT-qPCR技术对青海省海南州鼠疫菌耐链霉素rpsL基因突变位点的检测[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(3): 331-335.
[15]	张晓云, 刘正祥, 苏丽琼, 罗剑龙, 朱春文, 和凤英, 孙克香, 邵宗体, 蔡文凤. 云南省鹤庆县2011－2020年动物鼠疫监测结果分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2023, 34(3): 344-350.