气象因素与登革热发病相关关系的Meta分析

doi:10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2021.06.014

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 目的评估气象因素与登革热发病的相关关系，为制定当地登革热防控措施提供依据。方法利用关键词检索PubMed、Web of Science、中国知网全文数据库（CNKI）、万方、维普等数据库，查找2021年3月1日前发表的气象因素与登革热发病相关关系文献，并采用文献编辑软件EndNote X6汇总、剔重，按照事先规定的纳入、排除标准筛选文献，对入选文献进行数据提取及质量评价，随后采用R语言（R 4.0.2）进行Meta分析。结果共检出1 780篇相关文献，最终纳入11篇，涉及17个地区；滞后的气象因素与登革热发病具有一定的关系，平均最低气温、平均最高气温、平均气温、平均相对湿度和降水量均与登革热发病呈正相关，r_s值（95%置信区间）分别为0.34（0.25~0.43）、0.30（0.09~0.50）、0.37（0.30~0.43）、0.24（0.08~0.39）和0.38（0.31~0.44）。结论气象因素与登革热发病有着一定的相关关系，且滞后的气象因素在登革热的发病中起着重要作用，建议当地相关部门加强气象因子与登革热病例监测。

关键词: 登革热, 气象因素, 相关系数, Meta分析

Abstract: Objective To evaluate the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of dengue fever, and to provide evidence for local control of dengue fever. Methods We searched PubMed, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, VIP and Wanfang databases using specific key words for literature on the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of dengue fever published before March 1, 2021. We used EndNote X6 software to pool the studies and remove duplicates, screened them according to prespecified inclusion and exclusion criteria, conducted data extraction and quality evaluation for the included studies, and performed the meta-analysis with R 4.0.2 software. Results A total of 1 780 relevant papers were searched out, and 11 of them were finally included, involving 17 regions. Lagged meteorological factors were associated with the incidence of dengue fever. There were positive correlations between the incidence of dengue fever and average minimum temperature, average maximum temperature, average temperature, average relative humidity, and rainfall, with r_s(95% confidence interval) being 0.34 (0.25, 0.43), 0.30 (0.09, 0.50), 0.37 (0.30, 0.43), 0.24 (0.08, 0.39), and 0.38 (0.31, 0.44), respectively. Conclusion Meteorological factors are correlated with the incidence of dengue fever, and lagged meteorological factors play an important role in the occurrence of dengue fever. Local authorities should strengthen the surveillance of meteorological factors and dengue fever.

Key words: Dengue fever, Meteorological factor, Correlation coefficient, Meta-analysis

中图分类号:

唐娜, 董洋洋, 马建, 陈芝君, 戴罗桓, 阳益德, 贺权源, 周军华. 气象因素与登革热发病相关关系的Meta分析[J]. 中国媒介生物学及控制杂志, 2021, 32(6): 725-731.

TANG Na, DONG Yang-yang, MA Jian, CHEN Zhi-jun, DAI Luo-huan, YANG Yi-de, HE Quan-yuan, ZHOU Jun-hua. Relationship between meteorological factors and incidence of dengue fever: a meta-analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control, 2021, 32(6): 725-731.

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